United Sates 2024 Presidential Election Preview

Consider: What do the numbers 78k and 44k have in common? They are, effectively, the winning margins of the last two U.S. Presidential Elections.

The electoral votes from the noted three states within each election (excluding issues due to faithless electors) would have been enough for the losing candidate to win the U.S. Presidency.
In 2016, Clinton would have won by 278-260 EVs.
In 2020, Trump would have tied Biden 269-269 on EVs but Republicans held a 26-23 (plus one tie) in U.S. House delegations. Each state's U.S. House delegation would get one vote as the tie-breaker.
Chart: John SpiropoulosSource: U.S. Federal Election Commission (FEC)Embed Download imageCreated with Datawrapper